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List of Flash News about Coinbase research

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2025-07-07
20:03
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for New All-Time High as Macro Tailwinds and Regulatory Clarity Converge, Says Coinbase Research

According to @AltcoinGordon, Bitcoin (BTC) is positioned to rally towards a new all-time high, driven by a combination of positive macroeconomic shifts, increasing regulatory clarity, and strong market sentiment. A Coinbase Research report highlights an improved U.S. economic outlook, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8%, which eases recession fears. This, coupled with a record $21.9 trillion U.S. M2 money supply and soaring equity markets, is expected to channel capital into alternative assets like BTC. Key regulatory developments, including the progression of the GENIUS (stablecoin) and CLARITY (market structure) bills, are providing a clearer framework for the industry. Furthermore, the SEC is reviewing over 80 crypto ETF applications, with potential decisions as early as July, which could act as a major catalyst. The source also notes that while corporate adoption of crypto is rising, altcoins may lag BTC unless they receive specific catalysts like individual ETF approvals.

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2025-07-07
18:41
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Analyst Sees $200K by Year-End Amid Favorable Inflation Data and Regulatory Progress

According to @rovercrc, multiple factors are creating a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC). A Coinbase Research report points to a constructive crypto market in the second half of 2025, fueled by stronger U.S. economic growth projections, as indicated by the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker, and significant regulatory progress, such as the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act. The report also notes that while corporate adoption is increasing demand, it introduces risks if firms fund crypto purchases with convertible debt. Separately, Matt Mena of 21Shares suggests that recent softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data could be a major bullish catalyst, putting a Bitcoin price of $200,000 by the end of this year "firmly in play." Mena argues that cooling inflation increases the likelihood of Federal Reserve policy easing, which could accelerate institutional investment and ETF inflows, reinforcing Bitcoin's role in global portfolios.

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2025-07-07
15:45
Crypto Tax Crackdown vs. Bitcoin (BTC) Rally: Coinbase Sees Bullish Macro and Regulatory Tailwinds

According to @StockMKTNewz, crypto investors face a dual landscape of imminent risk and potential reward. A significant threat looms from the IRS, which is intensifying enforcement with clearer rules like Revenue Procedure 2024-28 and an increase in compliance notices. For traders, a critical risk for the 2025 tax year is the new Form 1099-DA, which could report sales to the IRS with a default $0 cost basis for transferred assets, leading to artificially inflated taxable gains and potential audits. Conversely, a Coinbase Research report highlights a constructive outlook for the second half of the year, driven by a stronger macroeconomic backdrop with improving U.S. growth and anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts. The report also notes that regulatory progress, such as the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts, alongside growing corporate adoption, could provide strong tailwinds for the market. These factors suggest Bitcoin (BTC) is poised to benefit, while the outlook for altcoins may depend more on specific catalysts like ETF approvals.

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2025-07-07
15:42
Crypto IPO Boom: Why Circle's (USDC) IPO Succeeded and What Coinbase Research Predicts for Bitcoin (BTC) in H2 2025

According to @iampaulgrewal, the cryptocurrency market is seeing a wave of public listings, highlighted by the successful IPO of Circle (USDC), which raised over $1.05 billion. Aaron Brogan of Brogan Law suggests Circle's success may be due to factors like the premium investors pay for crypto exposure in public markets, anticipated regulatory clarity from the GENIUS Act for stablecoins, and high Treasury yields boosting issuer revenue. Supporting a bullish outlook, a Coinbase Research report forecasts a constructive second half of 2025 for crypto, driven by an improving macroeconomic backdrop with U.S. growth tracking at 3.8% QoQ, expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, and increasing corporate adoption. The report notes these tailwinds are particularly favorable for Bitcoin (BTC), while progress on the CLARITY Act and over 80 pending crypto ETF applications could provide further market catalysts. Additionally, Jean-Marie Mognetti of CoinShares highlights a shift in investor demand, with clients seeking sophisticated guidance on risk management and regulation from their advisors rather than simple token recommendations.

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2025-07-07
15:24
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for H2 2025 Rally on US Economic Growth & Regulatory Clarity, While Altcoins Lag

According to @CryptoMichNL, the crypto market is set for a constructive second half of 2025, primarily driven by Bitcoin (BTC). A Coinbase Research report highlights a positive outlook fueled by an improved macroeconomic backdrop, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker indicating 3.8% QoQ growth, alongside potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. Regulatory advancements, such as the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act defining SEC and CFTC roles, are expected to provide much-needed clarity. This environment is projected to benefit Bitcoin, which has already shown resilience by climbing 13% in the first half of 2025 while Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) fell 25% and 17% respectively. Joel Kruger of LMAX Group notes that July is historically a strong month for crypto, supporting a bullish case for H2. However, Bitfinex analysts caution that the third quarter has historically been weaker for BTC, suggesting potential for continued range-bound trading before a significant move. Currently, BTC is trading around $108,313, with ETH at approximately $2,532.

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2025-07-07
13:05
Polymarket's $14B Surge Boosts USDC Demand on Polygon (MATIC); Coinbase Analysts See Stablecoins as 'Quiet Winners' Amidst Network Revamp

According to @PolynomialFi, Coinbase analysts have identified stablecoins as the 'quiet winners' of Polymarket's recent growth surge. The prediction market, which settles all trades in Circle's USDC on the Polygon network, has processed over $14 billion in lifetime volume, creating significant, high-velocity demand for the stablecoin, as noted in the Coinbase report. This development comes as Polygon itself undergoes a major strategic overhaul. Citing a team press release, co-founder Sandeep Nailwal is now CEO of the Polygon Foundation, which will focus on its AggLayer cross-chain protocol and retire the zkEVM network to reclaim its Web3 leadership. Amid these ecosystem shifts, market data shows Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $108,000 and Ethereum (ETH) near $2,530, while Solana (SOL) hovers around $150.

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2025-07-07
12:35
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Major Rally on Improved US Growth and Regulatory Clarity, Coinbase Research Predicts

According to @AltcoinGordon, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is emerging for the second half of the year, driven by a stronger macroeconomic environment and clearer regulations. A Coinbase Research report highlights that an improved U.S. growth forecast, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% QoQ, is strengthening investor sentiment. This is coupled with significant regulatory progress, including the Senate's passage of the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act, which aims to define the roles of the SEC and CFTC. Furthermore, the SEC is reviewing over 80 crypto ETF applications, with some decisions expected as early as July. Coinbase Research suggests these factors create strong tailwinds for Bitcoin (BTC). The report also notes that altcoins may lag unless driven by specific catalysts like ETF approvals or major protocol developments, such as the recent mainnet launch of the XRP Ledger's (XRP) EVM sidechain and the debut of Botanix, a Bitcoin Layer-2 network.

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2025-07-07
10:17
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Surges to $108K on Institutional News as Coinbase Research Predicts Bullish Second Half; XRP Rallies on ETF Approval

According to @TATrader_Alan, a confluence of positive macroeconomic data, increasing institutional adoption, and advancing regulatory clarity is setting a constructive stage for crypto markets. A Coinbase Research report highlights an improved U.S. economic outlook, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker at 3.8%, as a key driver for a potential Bitcoin (BTC) rally in the second half of 2025. This sentiment was bolstered by market movements, with BTC climbing 3.1% to over $108,600. The rally was fueled by institutional developments, including a JPMorgan trademark application for digital asset services and news that asset manager Purpose will launch a spot XRP ETF in Canada, which contributed to XRP's 6-7% gain. Despite the broad rally, Nansen research analyst Nicolai Søndergaard cautions that an 'altcoin season' is not imminent, as BTC's performance remains the primary trigger for altcoin movements. From a technical standpoint, Bitfinex analysts noted that recent market action resembled past 'capitulation-style setups,' identifying the $102,000-$103,000 zone as a critical support level for BTC. Traders are now keenly awaiting the Federal Reserve's upcoming meeting, with Swissblock anticipating market volatility based on Chair Jerome Powell's commentary.

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2025-07-06
17:18
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Poised for Rally Amid Weakening Dollar, Strong Nvidia (NVDA) Correlation, and Positive Coinbase Research Outlook

According to @rovercrc, Bitcoin (BTC) appears positioned for a rally, supported by a confluence of positive macroeconomic and market-specific factors. A Coinbase Research report highlights an improved U.S. economic outlook, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% QoQ, which eases recession fears and points toward potential Federal Reserve rate cuts. This sentiment is reinforced by a weakening U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which dropped to its lowest level since February 2022, a development described by Bitwise's Andre Dragosch as 'very bullish' for Bitcoin. Further supporting the bullish case is the strong positive correlation between BTC and Nvidia (NVDA), with the 90-day correlation coefficient at 0.80 as NVDA shares hit a record high. Additionally, significant regulatory progress, including the CLARITY Act and over 80 pending crypto ETF applications, could provide structural tailwinds for the market, with some ETF decisions possible as early as July.

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2025-07-06
16:46
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for H2 Rally on Macro & Regulatory Tailwinds, Says Coinbase; Strong US Jobs Data Delays Fed Rate Cut Hopes

According to @StockMKTNewz, Coinbase Research projects a constructive outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) in the second half of 2025, driven by an improving macroeconomic backdrop, growing corporate adoption, and significant regulatory progress. The research highlights the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% and legislative efforts like the GENIUS and CLARITY Acts as key tailwinds. However, the short-term outlook is tempered by recent economic data. The June U.S. jobs report significantly beat forecasts with 147,000 new payrolls and an unemployment rate drop to 4.1%, strengthening the Federal Reserve's patient stance on monetary policy. In immediate reaction, Bitcoin (BTC) dipped slightly to just under $109,000, and market odds for a July Fed rate cut plummeted, though chances for a September cut remain above 75%. This suggests that while long-term fundamentals for BTC are strengthening, short-term price action remains highly sensitive to Fed policy expectations.

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2025-07-06
16:04
Crypto Market Outlook: Why Stablecoins and US Economic Strength Could Fuel a Bitcoin (BTC) Rally in H2 2025

According to @QCompounding, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is emerging for the second half of 2025, driven by several key factors cited in a Coinbase Research report. These include an improved macroeconomic backdrop, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker pointing to stronger U.S. growth, and increasing corporate adoption of digital assets, facilitated by new 'mark-to-market' accounting rules. The report suggests Bitcoin (BTC) is well-positioned to benefit from these tailwinds and potential U.S. regulatory clarity from bills like the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act. However, altcoins may lag without specific catalysts such as ETF approvals. Furthermore, the author highlights the transformative potential of stablecoins, which are growing at 55% annually and now equal 1% of the U.S. M2 money supply. This growth could enable a 'streaming economy' where ultra-low-cost transactions on networks like Ethereum Layer 2s allow for instantaneous payments, potentially freeing up trillions in corporate working capital and driving deeper crypto integration.

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2025-07-06
14:03
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Target of $200K Now 'Firmly in Play' Following Favorable US CPI Data, Analyst Says

According to @rovercrc, a softer-than-expected U.S. inflation report is a significant bullish catalyst that could propel Bitcoin (BTC) to a price of $200,000 by the end of the year, a view held by Matt Mena, a crypto research strategist at 21Shares. Mena stated that if BTC convincingly breaks the $105K-$110K range, it could see a sharp move to $120K and potentially reach a $138.5K target by the end of summer. The favorable Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has led traders to price in approximately two 25 basis point rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year. Adding to the bullish sentiment, a report from Coinbase Research highlights a constructive outlook for the second half of the year, driven by an improving macroeconomic environment, growing institutional adoption under new accounting rules, and advancing regulatory clarity through bills like the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act. Coinbase Research suggests that while Bitcoin is positioned to benefit from these macro and structural tailwinds, the performance of altcoins will likely depend on specific catalysts such as ETF approvals or protocol developments.

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2025-07-06
12:02
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Rally on Macro Shifts and Regulatory Clarity, Coinbase Research Reveals, as RWA Tokenization Accelerates

According to @QCompounding, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is forming for the second half of the year, driven by an improved macroeconomic backdrop and key regulatory progress. A report from Coinbase Research highlights that stronger U.S. growth, indicated by the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8%, coupled with expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, is fueling positive sentiment for Bitcoin (BTC). The report suggests BTC is poised to benefit from these tailwinds, as well as its inflation protection narrative. Meanwhile, regulatory developments such as the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act are expected to provide much-needed legal certainty. A major catalyst for traders is the SEC's review of over 80 crypto ETF applications, with some rulings anticipated as early as July. In parallel, the report notes that Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization has surpassed the proof-of-concept phase, with over $20 billion in assets already on-chain, backed by major institutions like BlackRock and KKR. Key drivers for RWA growth include maturing blockchain infrastructure, improved custody solutions, and the rise of tokenized T-bills as superior yield-bearing collateral.

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2025-07-06
09:32
Bitcoin (BTC) Holds Steady While Altcoins Like ETH & DOGE Face Profit-Taking Amid Positive Macro Signals

According to @AltcoinGordon, while Bitcoin (BTC) remains firm above $107,000, the broader crypto market is showing signs of fatigue as major altcoins experience profit-taking. Dogecoin (DOGE) fell nearly 4%, and other tokens like Ether (ETH), Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) also saw losses as they approached local resistance levels. Despite this, analysts maintain a constructive outlook, citing improving macroeconomic conditions. Jeffrey Ding, Chief Analyst at HashKey Group, noted that progress on U.S.-China trade talks and softer inflation data create a favorable environment for risk assets. A Coinbase Research report further supports this, predicting a strong second half of 2025 for crypto, driven by better U.S. economic growth, growing corporate adoption of digital assets, and increasing regulatory clarity with bills like the GENIUS Act. Kraken economist Thomas Perfumo also highlighted that the market rally reflects crypto's evolving role as a macro hedge, with spot ETFs absorbing supply faster than expected.

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2025-07-05
19:58
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: $200K Target 'Firmly in Play' Amid US Inflation Drop and Regulatory Clarity

According to @rovercrc, a combination of improving macroeconomic conditions, pending U.S. crypto regulation, and softer inflation data is creating a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC). A Coinbase Research report highlights that stronger U.S. growth, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker at 3.8% QoQ, and corporate adoption are key tailwinds for the second half of 2025. The report also points to progress on crypto legislation like the GENIUS Act and CLARITY Act as a source of market stability. Separately, Matt Mena, a strategist at 21Shares, suggests that a recent softer-than-expected U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a significant bullish catalyst. Mena states that if BTC breaks out of the $105K-$110K range, a move to $120K is possible, and a $200K price for Bitcoin by year-end is now 'firmly in play'. He adds that renewed institutional confidence and impending stablecoin regulation could further accelerate ETF inflows.

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2025-07-05
19:04
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for H2 2025 Rally on Macro Tailwinds, But Altcoins Like DOGE, SOL Face Profit-Taking Pressure

According to @rovercrc, while Bitcoin (BTC) holds firm above $107,000, with BTCUSDT trading around $108,026, several major altcoins are showing signs of profit-taking. The analysis notes that Dogecoin (DOGE) fell nearly 4%, Tron (TRX) slipped 5.5%, and other assets like XRP, BNB, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) experienced losses up to 3%. Ether (ETH), despite recent outperformance, is also cooling off after briefly touching $2,800, now trading near $2,497. However, a Coinbase Research report projects a constructive outlook for the second half of 2025, fueled by improving macroeconomic conditions, corporate adoption, and regulatory clarity. The report highlights the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% and anticipates Federal Reserve rate cuts. Progress on crypto legislation, such as the GENIUS Act and the CLARITY Act, is expected to provide structural tailwinds for BTC. Augustine Fan of SignalPlus added that mainstream sentiment has turned positive, citing Circle's IPO and companies adopting BTC treasury strategies. Similarly, Thomas Perfumo of Kraken noted that spot ETFs are absorbing supply faster than anticipated within a more favorable U.S. regulatory environment, creating a virtuous cycle for the market.

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2025-07-05
17:18
Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Fueled by Institutional ETF Demand; Is an Altcoin Season Next? Analysis Suggests Historical Rotation

According to @rovercrc, a confluence of positive factors suggests a constructive outlook for crypto markets, particularly for Bitcoin (BTC). A Coinbase Research report highlights an improving macroeconomic backdrop for the second half of 2025, with the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracker at 3.8% and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. Analysis from Gregory Mall of Lionsoul Global notes that while BTC has hit new all-time highs driven by over $16 billion in year-to-date spot ETF inflows and central bank optimism, altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) have lagged. Historically, Bitcoin dominance, now over 54%, peaks two to six months before a significant altcoin rally. Supporting a potential rotation, the total value locked (TVL) in DeFi has recovered to over $117 billion, according to DeFiLlama. Furthermore, Kevin Tam highlights accelerating institutional adoption, with Canadian pension funds entering the market and ETF demand for BTC last year being three times higher than the newly minted supply. Regulatory tailwinds, including potential US crypto bills and the UK's FCA greenlighting crypto ETNs, further bolster the case for a market upswing.

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2025-07-05
16:06
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Major Rally in H2 2025 Driven by US Economic Growth and Regulatory Progress, Says Coinbase Research

According to @cas_abbe, a report from Coinbase Research outlines a constructive outlook for the cryptocurrency market in the second half of 2025, with Bitcoin (BTC) expected to lead a rally. The positive forecast is based on several key factors, including a stronger U.S. economic backdrop, as indicated by the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker jumping to 3.8% QoQ. Further support is expected from potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, growing corporate adoption of digital assets facilitated by new mark-to-market accounting rules, and significant progress in regulatory clarity. The report highlights the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act, which aims to define the roles of the SEC and CFTC. Additionally, with over 80 crypto ETF applications under SEC consideration, potential approvals could provide major catalysts. While Bitcoin (BTC) appears set to benefit from these macro and structural tailwinds, the report suggests altcoins may lag unless driven by specific developments like individual ETF approvals.

Source
2025-07-05
14:32
Bitcoin (BTC) Poised for Rally on Macro Tailwinds; Ethereum (ETH) Targets $3K Amid Institutional Surge, Coinbase Research Reveals

According to @StockMarketNerd, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is expected in the second half of the year, driven by a confluence of positive factors. A report from Coinbase Research highlights an improved macroeconomic backdrop, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker pointing to 3.8% QoQ growth, alongside progressing U.S. crypto legislation like the CLARITY Act, which could provide significant tailwinds for Bitcoin (BTC). For Ethereum (ETH), institutional demand is a key driver, with OKX Chief Commercial Officer Lennix Lai noting that ETH derivative trading volume (45.2%) has surpassed BTC (38.1%) on the platform, making a price target of $3,000 for ETH look "increasingly likely." This institutional conviction is also seen in Bitcoin, as a Glassnode report indicates that long-term holder accumulation is outpacing profit-taking, a "highly atypical" and bullish signal for a late-stage bull market. Furthermore, CryptoQuant data shows the stablecoin market has reached an all-time high of $228 billion, with Presto Research noting that Tron (TRX) has captured the majority of recent inflows, while a16z Crypto's Scott Duke Kominers argues that blockchains will serve as the essential rails for the emerging AI agent economy.

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2025-07-05
11:48
Bitcoin (BTC) Rally Expected on Macro Improvement & Regulatory Clarity, Coinbase Reports; Polygon (MATIC) Undergoes Major Revamp

According to @AltcoinGordon, a constructive outlook for crypto markets is emerging for the second half of the year, driven by a stronger macroeconomic backdrop and increasing regulatory clarity. A Coinbase Research report highlights that improving U.S. growth, with the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker at 3.8% QoQ, and expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts are strengthening investor sentiment. Bitcoin (BTC) is reportedly poised to benefit from these tailwinds and its use as an inflation hedge. However, the report suggests altcoins may lag without specific catalysts like ETF approvals. On the regulatory front, the progression of the GENIUS Act for stablecoins and the CLARITY Act to define SEC and CFTC roles could provide significant clarity for investors. Furthermore, the SEC is reviewing over 80 crypto ETF applications, with some decisions possible as early as July. In protocol news, Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal has taken over as CEO of the Polygon Foundation, pivoting the project's focus to the AggLayer cross-chain protocol and retiring the zkEVM network. Additionally, Bitcoin Core's upcoming version 30 will increase the OP_RETURN data limit, and Ant Group plans to apply for stablecoin licenses in Hong Kong and Singapore, signaling further institutional adoption.

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